The Student-Housing Learning Curve
Student-housing investments used to be considered a “niche” strategy, more of an elective than a core requirement. In the search for yield, so-called niche assets—student housing, senior housing, self-storage, and medical office—have become more central. The sector’s fundamentals have been compelling: University enrollments are increasing steadily, driven by the millennial generation as well as by an expanding cadre of international students. With rising demand for technical skills in a competitive job market, a college degree is almost required for many entry-level positions. As a result, the student population is increasing by about one percent per year —a rate expected to continue through 2021. Today, 70 percent of all high school graduates continue their education. At the same time, the existing stock of university housing is increasingly inadequate and outdated, although little capital is available for new facilities. Shrinking budgets have limited new construction at public universities, while private colleges saw their endowments decline during the recent downturn. New campus construction tends to create more classrooms than dormitories, and off-campus housing accommodates almost 70 percent of the college population. Enter the student-housing managers, both public and private. Offering investment management and development expertise, they have been powered by readily available debt and equity capital. Yet the industry remains highly fragmented; small, local operators—some with only a handful of properties—dominate the market as measured by number of beds. The top 10 firms, including the sector’s three public REITs, control just one-and-a-half percent of the total. The trend, however, is toward greater institutional ownership. Christopher Merrill, co-founder and CEO of Harrison Street believes that greater institutional participation will encourage more transparency, increase liquidity, and reduce overall risk. He points to the growth in aggregate market capitalization of the sector’s three REITs: $5 billion at the end of 2013, compared with $1 billion at year-end 2008. Performance has been strong, with student-housing REIT returns outpacing those of both the NAREIT Apartment Index and the NAREIT Equity Index at year-end 2011. Student-housing investments outperformed all other property sectors during the credit crisis, leading some to label it “recession resistant.”
Too Much Capital?
Is too much capital pouring into a relatively small sector, estimated at $300–$400 billion? “No,” says Al Rabil, managing partner of the real estate private equity team at Kayne Anderson Capital Advisors (KAREA). “As a whole, this is a healthy industry, and in certain markets new development is justified.” New development, estimated at $3 billion to $4 billion annually, adds 10 to 15 percent to the sector each year. That being said, KAREA has reduced its target locations for student housing from 75 to 25 to 30. KAREA invests in both traditional university towns and nontraditional urban markets like Boston. They prefer large universities with a consistently growing student body in areas where barriers to new development are high. “We are continuing to find new opportunities that meet our investment requirements,” says Rabil. Today’s student-housing complexes are built to enhance their residents’ quality of life. Privacy and comfort are key, with “bed/bath parity” and amenities like Internet, fitness centers, pools, saunas, basketball courts, and coffee bars standard in most new construction. Such high-frill projects have been designed for the children of the baby boomers and are very different from the barracks-like accommodations that housed their parents. The best locations are on campus or within walking distance. Rents range from $400 to $600 to as much as $1,200 per bed per month, depending on the university, the amenity package, the location, and the age of the property. “We continue to identify opportunities for both new development projects and existing property acquisitions in the student-housing space,” notes Harrison Street’s Merrill. “In any given year, our student-housing investment program is typically 40 to 50 percent development and 50 to 60 percent acquisition.” Student-housing professionals typically look for opportunities at large public four-year universities where undergraduate programs tilt toward technical degrees and specialized training as opposed to liberal arts. Enrollment in these schools—many in the Sun Belt—is growing faster in general than at more traditional universities.
The Risks
So what are the risks to investing in student housing? Besides the usual real estate issues— location, property condition, capital requirements, and competition—deal size in the student-housing sector tends to be small. Managers aren’t always able find good opportunities to satisfy available capital, making it hard to assemble a diversified portfolio that will generate target returns. Besides the difficulty of aggregating assets, managers agree that the need for knowledgeable, hands-on management is critical for investment success. Student housing is essentially an operating business, characterized by short-term leases and sometimes challenging tenants. The local manager has to walk the property frequently, maintain it aggressively, and quickly deal with tenant issues. Certain markets are overbuilt. At some schools, too much capital was invested in new development projects; the resulting oversupply has put downward pressure on rents at those schools. In some areas, multifamily developers, lured by easy capital before the downturn, have moved into the student-housing space, contributing to supply imbalance. To mitigate the risk of overbuilding, particularly in an urban area like Boston, managers may broaden the potential appeal of their projects. KAREA, for example, has developed high-rise projects suitable for many tenant types. Small, highly functional units with an efficient layout appeal to students and non-students. Apartments carefully tailored to their market can serve undergraduates, graduate students, and young urban professionals in the early stages of their careers, expanding the potential tenant base. Student housing is a young industry with some operating inefficiencies. There is potential for declining yields due to excess development and competition for good deals. As the sector grows, increased institutionalization should create a more sophisticated and transparent environment. Student housing may well become a requirement for institutional investors.
The student-accommodation market remains fragmented, but is rapidly institutionalizing as investors and developers realize the returns aren’t academic
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